Spezia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GRO
2 - 1
SPE
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
PIS
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 3
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SPE
3 - 0
FRO
36%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COM
2 - 2
SPE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 4
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 3
USC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ACL
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 0
ACL
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | -1 |