Spezia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SPE
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 3
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
REG
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
ARZ
3 - 1
ACL
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2000 |
CES
2 - 3
ACL
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |