Spezia vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPE
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRO
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
SPE
0 - 1
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 0
SPE
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SPE
3 - 0
FAN
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAV
2 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |