Spezia vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SPE
2 - 2
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 3
SPE
78%
13%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SPE
4 - 0
FIU
30%
22%
47%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +3 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
SPE
2 - 5
LAZ
39%
24%
38%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 0
MOD
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
UNI
1 - 3
MED
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
BIE
8 - 2
UNI
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
UNI
2 - 2
SFT
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAP
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +2 |