Spezia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 0
SPE
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 2
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
REG
3 - 0
SPE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAV
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ACP
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIM
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |