Spezia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ALV
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
COM
2 - 0
ARZ
44%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
5 - 3
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
4 - 1
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |