Sona Calcio vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sona Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 3
SON
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SON
1 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
SON
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SON
1 - 1
VCB
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 2
SON
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
USP
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
ARC
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ADR
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |