Savignanese vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savignanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 2
PRO
69%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
COR
4 - 2
SAV
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 2
SAV
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 3
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
ALF
42%
22%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 1
ALF
49%
22%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 1
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
ALF
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |