Sasso Marconi vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
TUT
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASD
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASD
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 3
ASD
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RIM
2 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |