Sasso Marconi vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
RIM
3 - 0
ASD
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
ACA
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
COR
3 - 2
ASD
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 3
FAN
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USR
1 - 2
ASD
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
BAG
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 0
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 2
GHI
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
RIM
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |