Sasso Marconi vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 3
LEN
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
MEZ
37%
25%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 2
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 2
PER
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 1
COR
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
ADR
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ADR
2 - 2
PRO
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
REG
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
ADR
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |