Sancataldese vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAT
9%
19%
73%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
POR
6 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAT
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIC
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
PAT
4 - 3
CIT
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 2
PAT
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
ACI
16%
24%
60%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CAV
2 - 0
PAT
72%
19%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 1
CSA
33%
24%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |