Sancataldese vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
SAN
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
ISO
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PPI
1 - 0
SAN
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
EBO
1 - 1
SAN
57%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
ACP
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 0
ISO
92%
6%
2%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
USV
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
NOC
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
AEE
0 - 0
NOC
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
EBO
82%
11%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |