Sancataldese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ROT
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
NOC
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MES
0 - 1
POR
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |