Sancataldese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MES
4 - 4
PAL
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EBO
0 - 0
MES
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
AEE
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 0
MES
59%
23%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |