Sancataldese vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
SAN
82%
14%
4%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIT
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
0 - 0
ASD
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 3
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |