Sancataldese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
POR
6 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAT
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GEL
4 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIC
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
USV
0 - 1
CAT
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 3
USF
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
USF
2 - 2
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |