Sancataldese vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
ROC
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
FCI
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MES
1 - 2
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 4
CCI
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 0
ASD
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MDR
1 - 0
ASD
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 4
MES
21%
27%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASD
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |