San Luca vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GEL
1 - 1
LUC
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 0
LIC
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
USC
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BIA
1 - 3
LUC
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 0
REN
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RAA
0 - 0
USC
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BIA
0 - 3
RAA
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASD
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 0
RAA
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
RAA
1 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |