San Luca vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
11º
18º
14º
37
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
1 - 1
LUC
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAT
2 - 1
LUC
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
USV
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CCI
5 - 1
LUC
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
RAG
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 1
SMC
45%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAA
3 - 1
PAT
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 5
PAT
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PAT
4 - 3
CIT
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |