San Luca vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
LUC
62%
23%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 2
LAT
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 0
LUC
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
GEL
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
LUC
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
GEL
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
LIC
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 3
PAT
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
USC
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
PAT
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |