San Luca vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BIA
1 - 3
LUC
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 0
REN
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
LUC
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
LUC
4 - 1
GIA
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUC
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
USC
0 - 4
GEL
19%
27%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
BIA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 0
USC
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
USC
3 - 1
ASD
54%
25%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |