San Luca vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
17º
16º
28
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
90.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAN
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUC
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 0
AKR
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
USV
5 - 1
LUC
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LUC
3 - 3
USC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 2
ACI
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
REG
1 - 0
LOC
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCI
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
LOC
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
CAN
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |