ASD Sambiase vs SS Scafatese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+159%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
3º
42
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 62 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 46 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 34 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98% | 95% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
2 - 1
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 1
POM
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 0
USV
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 2
ASD
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
SS Scafatese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PAT
0 - 0
SSS
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SSS
0 - 0
ENN
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIC
0 - 2
SSS
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SSS
1 - 1
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ACI
1 - 2
SSS
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |