Rotonda vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 0
USC
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 3
ROT
66%
17%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAL
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
REN
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |