Rotonda vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 3
ROT
66%
17%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
CCI
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
USC
2 - 0
PAL
19%
21%
61%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +4 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 1
USC
69%
20%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USC
0 - 1
FCI
23%
21%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |