Real Monterotondo Scalo vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
7º
18º
8º
3
1º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 62 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 42 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 36 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monterotondo Scalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 0
RMS
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SSC
3 - 0
RMS
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RMS
0 - 0
PUT
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FAN
5 - 2
RMS
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RMS
3 - 0
MAT
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
PUT
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
TRA
35%
22%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
SSC
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
TRA
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
NOC
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |