Real Monterotondo Scalo vs Tivoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
12º
9º
38
3º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 23% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monterotondo Scalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 0
LRO
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SOR
0 - 0
RMS
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CSO
3 - 1
RMS
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RMS
2 - 0
SSC
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HYR
2 - 4
RMS
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
SSC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LRO
2 - 3
SSD
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 0
SSD
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
CSO
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASI
0 - 0
SSD
42%
22%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |