Real Monterotondo Scalo vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
18º
10º
29
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 32 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monterotondo Scalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RMS
0 - 0
OLB
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 0
RMS
36%
25%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RMS
2 - 1
PAG
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RMS
0 - 0
SSC
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PUT
2 - 0
RMS
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GMF
6 - 1
FCS
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
3 - 0
ULD
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASI
0 - 1
FCS
39%
27%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
GEL
28%
29%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
AUR
1 - 0
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |