PDHAE vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PDHAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
LAV
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 2
PDH
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
ACS
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
PDH
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 1
PDH
23%
20%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
LIG
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 0
DER
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
DER
4 - 2
FOS
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
ASD
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 0
DER
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |