OltrepòVoghera vs Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
CLA
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
CRE
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ASD
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
FAN
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
4 - 0
CAL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
USD
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PER
5 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
ADR
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |