Monterosi Tuscia vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterosi Tuscia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 5
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 3
MON
38%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LAN
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OST
3 - 2
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAQ
14%
23%
63%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ULD
1 - 1
SSD
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 1
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SSD
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 0
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |