Monterosi Tuscia vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterosi Tuscia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
SSC
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
ULD
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
MON
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
LAN
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
APR
1 - 0
ULD
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 1
APR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
APR
2 - 2
LAN
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SFF
3 - 1
APR
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
APR
2 - 1
AVE
14%
23%
63%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +2 |