Molfetta Calcio vs Virtus Matino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
3 - 3
MOL
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
LAV
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MOL
5 - 0
NAR
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 4
MOL
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
2 - 2
BIS
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
2 - 0
SOR
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
PVM
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
PVM
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
PVM
1 - 1
ROT
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
USB
3 - 2
PVM
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |