Molfetta Calcio vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 4
MOL
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
2 - 2
BIS
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 0
MOL
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
ASD
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
MOL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
ASF
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 0
NAR
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 1
ASD
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
NAR
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
ROT
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |