Lornano Badesse vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lornano Badesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
RIE
65%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
UNV
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
SCA
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 3
GAV
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
3 - 1
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
USP
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
GAV
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |