Lornano Badesse vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lornano Badesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
BAR
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
RIE
65%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 3
CAN
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 3
FOL
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
PIA
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
SCA
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |