Ilvamaddalena vs Tivoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
17º
13º
38
3º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 23% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilvamaddalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
ASI
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ASI
0 - 0
LRO
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RMS
2 - 0
ASI
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ASI
1 - 1
CSO
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SSC
2 - 1
ASI
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
HYR
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 0
SSD
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 1
APR
74%
16%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACC
1 - 0
SSD
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |