Ilvamaddalena vs Sarrabus Ogliastra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
15º
14º
3
11º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 62 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 42 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 36 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilvamaddalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
ASI
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ASI
0 - 1
LOD
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OLB
0 - 3
ASI
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 2
ASI
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASI
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarrabus Ogliastra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CSO
1 - 2
ANZ
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 0
CSO
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CSO
2 - 2
ULD
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CSO
1 - 2
SSC
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
3 - 1
CSO
50%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |