ASD HinterReggio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 3
PON
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
ASD
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 2
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 0
FON
77%
15%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GAV
3 - 1
RAA
73%
18%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GAV
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 3
TER
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 1
GAV
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PON
1 - 3
GAV
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |