Grassina vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grassina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SDT
0 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
4 - 2
ACA
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
GAV
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRA
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 3
SDT
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
SCA
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GAV
1 - 1
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
MON
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
5 - 3
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |