Grassina vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grassina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRA
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 3
SDT
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 2
CAN
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
6 - 0
GRA
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 1
SCA
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GAV
2 - 2
ACA
58%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SDT
2 - 0
GAV
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GAV
3 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 1
GAV
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |