Matese vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
MAT
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 0
OLY
80%
13%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
MAT
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
RIE
37%
22%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
SEL
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
CYN
31%
23%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
MON
36%
24%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
REC
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
OLY
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |