Castelnuovo Vomano vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
POR
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SFF
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UST
3 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
NER
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAS
33%
23%
45%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 1
TRA
17%
23%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
FAN
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 2
NER
81%
13%
7%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |