ASD Cascina vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Cascina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
USP
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
ASD
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 2
ASD
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
SPO
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 3
ASD
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 2
GAV
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 0
RIE
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
UNV
0 - 2
GAV
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |