Cartigliano vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SDA
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
31%
26%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACE
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CLO
1 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
GSD
3 - 3
ADB
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GSD
0 - 3
MON
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SDA
1 - 1
GSD
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GSD
0 - 1
CLO
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 4
GSD
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |