Cartigliano vs Cattolica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
CLO
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SGS
2 - 0
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRE
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACE
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cattolica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAT
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 4
CAT
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
CHI
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |