Carbonia vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 3
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
CYN
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ULD
1 - 2
CAR
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 1
CAR
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
APR
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
OST
1 - 1
VIS
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TNF
2 - 1
OST
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
OST
2 - 0
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 0
OST
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
OST
3 - 0
ARZ
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |