Carbonia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SIE
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACP
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 85 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ACP
0 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
FIO
1 - 0
SIE
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 28 | 57 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
FIO
6 - 1
PAD
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |