Carbonia vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
53.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
GLA
1 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
RMS
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNF
31%
23%
47%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
4 - 3
VIS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
0 - 2
SAS
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 2
TNF
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
AFR
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AFR
3 - 1
ARZ
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |